Rising Tensions in the Middle East
With the recent escalation between Iran and Israel, including airstrikes and missile exchanges, global attention has turned to the possible involvement of major powers like Russia and China. Both countries maintain close ties with Iran, but their direct military involvement in a regional conflict remains uncertain.
Russia’s Strategic Caution
Russia has long supported Iran, especially through military cooperation in Syria. However, with its focus currently on the war in Ukraine, Moscow is unlikely to commit militarily to a second front. While it condemned recent US strikes on Iranian nuclear sites as violations of international law, the Kremlin has shown no intent to offer Iran direct military backing.
Experts believe Russia will avoid any action that risks open conflict with Israel or the United States. Additionally, Moscow maintains strategic relationships with both nations, making neutrality more politically advantageous.
China’s Economic Priorities
China’s relationship with Iran is largely economic. As a top buyer of Iranian oil and a partner in a 25-year strategic cooperation deal, China is invested in regional stability. However, China follows a consistent non-interventionist policy and avoids entanglement in foreign military conflicts.
While Beijing has urged calm and restraint from all sides, it is expected to continue playing a diplomatic role rather than offering military support.
Conclusion: Support Without Intervention
Both Russia and China are likely to remain on the sidelines of a direct Iran-Israel war. While they may offer rhetorical or diplomatic support to Iran, especially in international forums, neither is expected to engage militarily unless the conflict begins to impact their core strategic or economic interests.
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