President The US, Donald Trump, has announced to Russia that it has 50 days to reach a peace agreement with Kyiv. Otherwise, warns the White House leader, Russia would face with “severe” commercial tariffs of about 100%. The announcement of was made on Monday, during a joint conference with the secretary NATO General Mark Rutte at the White House. And also yesterday, Trump announced that the US will massively help Ukraine.
Question question is whether Donald Trump will have enough willpower to take action, but especially if Ukraine can still hope to liberate by fighting the territories illegally occupied and annexed by Russian. “Adevărul” discussed this subject with two acquaintances experts, General Alexandru Grumaz, the first Romanian senior officer with studies at Harvard, respectively the security policy expert Hari Bucur Marcu, internationally recognized.
It’s the only way Putin can be stopped
General Alexandru Grumaz refers first of all to the discussion between Trump and NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, in which the two announced that they will deliver important weapons to Ukraine.
“They want to infuse Ukraine with American weapons bought by European allies. So the way of supplying weapons has changed, because they are no longer available directly supply the United States, but from now on these weapons will be bought by Europeans and then given to Ukrainians. In fact, the problem It is as follows: the Europeans will give up the weapons they have, of the stocks of weapons they have, and these stocks will be be supplemented by the purchase of weapons from the United States. Of It should also be pointed out that although it lasted 6 months, it seems that President Trump has finally come to the conclusion that Putin does not want to peace in Ukraine and will act. This new realism is a change compared to Donald Trump’s previous strategy. And it’s the only way Putin can be stopped, which is the advance of the Russians.” says the general.
Thus Kyiv will receive Patriot missiles, but also long-range missiles action in order to be able to attack military objectives on the territory of Russia. And a serious weapon, which helps Ukrainians to shooting down the hundreds of drones launched daily by the Russians has already entered the action and seems to stop the Russian offensive.
Missiles can no longer carry the brunt of anti-aircraft defense
“Daily The Russians leave between 600 and 700 drones, along with 20 to to 40 ballistic missiles. Under these conditions, the systems that Ukraine has received them and we are talking here about Gepard, Patriot, NASAMS, even IRIS-T systems, not only do they struggle to cope, but they pull with projectiles costing between $100,000 and $4 million for shooting down a drone that costs the Russians 10,000 euros.
So no It can be sustainable, and the allies have no way to give so much expensive projectiles. But what is important to say is the fact that that Ukraine is starting to receive new weapons. He received, for example, the so-called Frankenstein tank, a Leopard 1 or 2 with a turret Skyranger, which has a series of sophisticated sensors, with vision of 360 degrees on the battlefield, able to cope swarms of drones”, adds General Alexandru Grumaz.
And because a single NASAMS rocket costs between 600,000 and a million dollars, and a Patriot missile is 4 million, the allies have decided to give the Ukrainians another important weapon, much more cheap, but effective.
Skynex, the wonder weapon with 1,000 anti-drone bullets per minute
‘The use of anti-aircraft missiles cannot be a viable option at the moment because of the enormous costs. It has already arrived in Ukraine and is being used in battle Skynex, which is a modular system. Submitted for first time last year in Paris, it can be configured according to of threats. The details of these systems are not made public at the and we only have a presentation made by Rheinmetall.
The cannon on it used a drone strike rate of 1,000 of bullets per minute, a radius of 4,000 meters. He can remove including First Person View drones, i.e. FPVs, in a single gust. Here, something that needs to be mentioned in these systems, The key is ammunition. Skynex fires with 35-inch Oerlikon projection millimeters, which cost between $3,000 and $4,000. Instead of hit the target, these projectiles explode just before the impact with it, releasing a cluster of submunitions, which increases the chances of successfully destroying a drone. Indeed, the elimination of a drone with a $4,000 projectile is much cheaper compared to the millions of dollars you have to give for Patriot missiles. So that would be one of the weapons that could help Ukrainians at least stop drone attacks,” he says General.
Will be enough for the floods of Russian soldiers to stop push the Ukrainians, and Kyiv’s troops to keep the current front lines? General Alexandru Grumaz believes that in order to This would still need to be met one condition: countries like China and India must be persuaded to stop support Russia with ammunition and weapons, and many other countries should not still do business with Putin. And Trump’s approach, on Monday, is a giver of hope.
No more play
“The President Trump threatened a new tariff for countries that buy Russian goods if no progress is made towards a truce within 50 days. The 50-day postponement is generous to Putin, who might, I say, think that Trump does not He really wants to do it, that is, to impose sanctions on him. Is wrong. Threat is clearly an attempt to anticipate the draft law of the Senators Lindsey Graham and Richard Blumenthal, who would impose Tariffs of up to 500% to countries purchasing products Russian oil and gas companies. It is clear that the project is bipartisan and demonstrates a broad consensus in the U.S. against of Putin’s imperialism,” the general mentions.
And That’s not all, he says. the media that Trump did not mention, unfortunately, is the seizure assets held by the West, which are worth $300 billion or even more. These funds were frozen after February 2022, but the Allies offered help Ukraine only from the related interest payments. It is clear that Donald Trump was fooled by President Putin, just as they other U.S. leaders have also been fooled. But, let it be very clearly, the combination of sanctions and weapons does not guarantee that Putin will He was negotiating a truce. He is determined to transform Ukraine in a Russian satrapy,” the general believes.
New weapons given to Ukraine, along with the sanctions to be decided against Russia they will not work miracles in the short term. In fact, neither at least they will not stop Russia from continuing to wage this war, but they will slow its progress, then stop it. The war will last longer at least two years, but the allies’ stake now is to stop the advance of the Russians, even if everyone is aware, including Ukrainian officials, that the territories already illegally occupied by the Putin cannot be released.
Russians can be stopped, but not driven out
“Sure The war will last at least two more years. But I don’t think Ukraine it will retake its territories already occupied by Russia. Now there are more a few localities that if Russia conquers, it will have the road opened to the Dniester. Under these conditions, the important thing is that the Ukrainians to keep the front on the current alignment. And Trump has said that July 14 will change, represents, in fact, a sustainable change in the direction of controlling Putin in Europe.
He also added that a Western Europe is needed which, in fact, is also in America’s interest. What will in the United States Congress is important because the tax placed on the countries that buy oil and gas, uranium and other goods will affect entire nations, and China and India, but also other countries will reconsider their aid to Russia and business with Putin. What is certain is that this will force China to revise its agreement with the Russian Federation, as regards exports of dual-use equipment and products in the Military. And this will affect Russia, which will not be able to do it indefinitely to support this huge military effort,” the general also says.
Wizard In his turn, Hari Bucur Marcu believes that the advance of the Russians will slow down, and then it will be stopped.
“Donald Trump made the best decision, even though Putin hoped he would managed to fool him. And it turned out that Trump is not the man depicted by the American press affiliated with the Democratic Party, which written that he is led by the nose and humiliated by Putin. Now we see who he is Trump. The fact that he was human and wanted to end the slaughter of Ukraine has been misinterpreted by those who detest it and who considered him naïve and constantly insulted him. Or, now it is He sees that it is not like that at all. So far Trump and Marco Rubio have had success in everything they have undertaken. They made peace between Israel and Hamas, between Israel and Iran, between India and Pakistan. And Trump will impose its will on Russia and Ukraine as well,” says Hari Bucur Marcu.
Putin’s ambitions, doomed to failure
Even if Ukraine does not have the strength to liberate all its territories, Putin will be stopped, and his imperial ambitions will be doomed Failure.
“Russia There is no way he can win this war. Putin would have had the chance to stop the war, they should have just accepted Trump’s plan. He didn’t want to, now he will suffer, but Russia couldn’t do it anyway conquer Kyiv,” says the expert.
In On the other hand, Hari Bucur Marcu believes that Ukraine will not be able to weapons and military equipment from the United States, will not be able to liberate Crimea and the east of the country from Russian occupation.
“Realistic Speaking of which, Ukraine has no way to drive Russia out of Crimea or from the the east of the country. In Crimea there are not even many Ukrainians, and in Crimea The east of the country is dominated by Russians, Russophiles, who have mostly happy about the arrival of the Russian army. So these losses I don’t see how they could be recovered. The stake is to be Russia’s advance, and Putin no longer has the capacity to to support other wars,” the expert believes.
An impossible scenario
Only how Ukraine could recover all its territories would be for the United States of America to get directly involved and send troops against Putin’s Russia. However, it is a scenario of unthinkable, explains Hari Bucur Marcu, recalling that Russia is a great nuclear power.
“Russia it can be defeated militarily only if America enters the war. Only in this way would the Russians be defeated. Obviously, this is not the case problem, and no American president, in all of history, sent troops against Russia. It’s an impossible war, there are two great nuclear powers, and a war of this kind would be tantamount to a disaster”, says Hari Bucur Marcu.
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